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Can Trade Agreements Be a Friend to Labor?
To date, labor clauses in trade agreements have remained a fig leaf,
neither raising labor standards abroad nor protecting them at home. Real change
would require a significantly different approach, including how trade
agreements uphold and enforce workers’ rights.
CAMBRIDGE – Labor advocates have long complained
that international trade agreements are driven by corporate agendas and pay
little attention to the interests of working people. The preambleof the World Trade Organization Agreement mentions
the objective of “full employment,” but otherwise labor standards remain
outside the scope of the multilateral trade regime. The only exception is a
clause, left over from the 1947 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (the
precursor to the WTO), which permits governments to restrict imports that are
produced with prison labor.
Regional trade agreements, by contrast, have long
taken labor standards aboard. The linkage in these agreements between preferential market access and
adherence to core labor rights has become increasingly explicit. In the
original North American Free Trade Agreement, signed in 1992, labor standards
were shunted to a side agreement. Since then, US trade agreements have
typically included a labor chapter.
According to its proponents, the Trans-Pacific
Partnership would have required Vietnam, Malaysia, and Brunei to improve their
labor practices significantly – and Vietnam to recognize independent trade
unions. And US President Donald Trump’s administration claims that its revamped agreement with Mexico contains
the strongest labor provisions of any trade agreement.
Developing countries have generally resisted
inclusion of labor standards in trade agreements for fear that advanced
countries will abuse such provisions for protectionist purposes. This fear can
be justified when the requirements go beyond core labor rights and make
specific wage and other material demands. For example, the new US-Mexico
agreement requires that 40-45% of a car be made by workers earning at least $16
per hour.
Auto companies can certainly afford to pay higher
wages, and this provision on its own may not undermine employment prospects in
Mexico. But it is not an altogether salutary precedent either, insofar as it
sets an unrealistic wage floor – many
multiples higher than the
average for the Mexican manufacturing sector as a whole.
On the other hand, developing countries have little
reason to reject labor standards that address bargaining asymmetries in the
workplace and fundamental human rights. Core labor standards such as freedom of
association, collective bargaining rights, and prohibition of compulsory labor
are not costly to economic development; in fact, they are essential to it.
In practice, the problem with trade agreements’
labor provisions is not that they are too restrictive for developing countries;
it is that they may remain largely cosmetic, with little practical effect. A
key concern is enforcement. For one thing, charges of labor-rights violations
can be brought only by governments, not by trade unions or human rights
organizations. By contrast, investment disputes can be launched by corporations
themselves.
Critics rightly worry that governments that are not
particularly friendly to labor causes will not be keen to follow through. To
date, there has been only a single instance of labor rights being pursued under
a trade agreement’s dispute settlement procedures, and the outcome is hardly
encouraging.
Following two years of complaints by US and
Guatemalan trade unions, the US government formally launched a case against
Guatemala in 2010. When a final decision was announced in 2017, nearly a decade
after the initial grievances were aired, the arbitration panel decided against
the US, but not because Guatemala lived up to its labor rights obligations
under its own laws. The panel did find violations of Guatemalan labor laws. For
example, court orders against employers who had dismissed workers for engaging
in union activities were not enforced. But it ruled that such violations did not have an effect on
Guatemala’s competitive advantage and exports, and therefore were not covered
by the trade agreement!
There are two reasons to care about labor
standards. First, we may have a humanitarian desire to improve working
conditions everywhere. In this case, we should have equal regard for workers in
the domestic economy and those employed in export industries. Focusing on the
latter may even backfire, by deepening dualistic labor-market structures.
In principle, we could expand enforceable labor
clauses in trade agreements to cover working conditions in the entire economy.
But it seems odd to have the linkage in the first place: why should labor
rights be left to trade negotiators and the commercial interests sitting around
the table, and remain hostage to negotiations couched in terms of market
access?
If we are serious about improving working
conditions everywhere, we should resort to experts on human rights, labor
markets, and development, and raise the profile of the International Labor
Organization instead. The objectives of both domestic labor unions and
international human-rights advocates are served better through other means.
One argument for linkage with trade is that it gives
countries a real incentive to reform labor-market practices. But foreign aid
agencies have long experience with conditionality, and they know that it is
effective only under special conditions. The desire for change must come from
within the country and be demonstrated by prior actions. Achieving reform by
threatening to suspend material benefits – aid or market access – is unlikely
to work.
Alternatively, the concern about labor standards
may be narrower: upholding working conditions at home and preventing a race to
the bottom. In this case, we should seek domestic remedies, as with safeguards
against import surges. What is required is a mechanism against “social dumping” that prevents poor labor
practices in exporting countries from spilling over to the importing country.
Such a scheme, if poorly designed, might deliver
excessive protectionism. Yet even the overtly protectionist anti-dumping
measures allowed under existing trade rules have not been overly damaging to
trade, while providing an escape valve for political pressure. A well-designed
safeguardagainst social dumping
should do no worse.
Labor rights are too important to leave to trade
negotiators alone. To date, labor clauses in trade agreements have remained a
fig leaf, neither raising labor standards abroad nor protecting them at home.
Real change would require a significantly different approach. We can start by
treating labor rights as being on a par with commercial interests, rather than
being an adjunct to them.
Writing for PS since 1998
148 Commentaries
148 Commentaries
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Dani Rodrik is Professor of International Political
Economy at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government. He is the
author of The
Globalization Paradox: Democracy and the Future of the World Economy, Economics Rules: The Rights and Wrongs of the Dismal
Science, and, most
recently, Straight Talk on
Trade: Ideas for a Sane World Economy
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